• We need your support!

    We are currently struggling to cover the operational costs of Xtremepapers, as a result we might have to shut this website down. Please donate if we have helped you and help make a difference in other students' lives!
    Click here to Donate Now (View Announcement)

Mathematics: Post your doubts here!

Messages
1,983
Reaction score
3,044
Points
273
the answers given do not follow the required proper technique to solve S1 questions, however they seem to be correct except the last part
last one you mean cost? i just wanted to help. i am at the As level only. i have 'officially' only done P1 in school and i am doing P3, M2 and S1 questions just for helping. if you don't get it, i am wrong or it offends you in any way, I am very sorry.
 
Messages
44
Reaction score
58
Points
28
i have not done S1. i will use my o level knowledge to do it.
(i) if anyone wins the first one, the probability of the same person winning the game is clearly 1/2
(ii) there's only one way this can happen. the one who wins the first one loses the second and third. so it is 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4
(iii) i guess there is again only one possibility: first he wins, second loses, third wins and fourth wins. so 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/8
(iv) well win lose win lose win is the only possibility as any other way the game will end just there. it will be by sequence (1/2)^4

there is no way the game can go on after 5 games.
the cost will be i guess 18/100.

Hey, I appreciate your effort! But S1 knowledge is required for this question. anyway, thanks :)
 
Messages
1,983
Reaction score
3,044
Points
273
what an attitude.
Do you have any idea what answering a question takes. I need to solve it, then confirm it. Then write it on a good piece of paper. Take a photo. Upload it here. Then people tell me that they can't even lift their fingers to just send me the link to make the process faster. Like i am a servant of yours. When i am doing so much for others, they can't even post link?
Why would someone do so much for others? I don't know. I just like to do this. But this is how they repay me? You people think we get paid to answer ur questions? I don't even ask questions from others. From last 3 years i have hardly asked any question on XPC. And you know my attitude? Nah. The rules of this forum doesn't allow me to use the kind of language which i use with d*ckheads like you.
 
Messages
195
Reaction score
265
Points
73
Hello Everyone! :)
Kindly please solve this Statistics 1 question on probability.
Thanks
If man A wins the first two games, there are 2^3=8 ways the last 3 games could have been played.
If he wins in three games, there are 2^2=4 ways the last 2 games could have been played.
If he wins in four, the last game could only have 2 possibilities.
If he wins in 5 there is only one way it could happen.
In total there are 8+4+2+1=15 ways the match could be played.
The probabilities will be 8/15, 4/15, 2/15 and 1/15.

The expected value the winner receives is (8/15*14)+(4/15*14)+(2/15*18)+(1/15*18)=14.8
The amount every spectator gives is 14.8/100=0.148
 
Messages
144
Reaction score
107
Points
53
last one you mean cost? i just wanted to help. i am at the As level only. i have 'officially' only done P1 in school and i am doing P3, M2 and S1 questions just for helping. if you don't get it, i am wrong or it offends you in any way, I am very sorry.

neither did it offend me nor it looks completely incorrect i just said it lacks proper structure of solving AS S1 questions, and jbtw there is obviously no direct return of this help but have you ever heard of karma!? There are million others who help without any will of return. Just look at that famous khan academy guy
 
Messages
144
Reaction score
107
Points
53
If man A wins the first two games, there are 2^3=8 ways the last 3 games could have been played.
If he wins in three games, there are 2^2=4 ways the last 2 games could have been played.
If he wins in four, the last game could only have 2 possibilities.
If he wins in 5 there is only one way it could happen.
In total there are 8+4+2+1=15 ways the match could be played.
The probabilities will be 8/15, 4/15, 2/15 and 1/15.

The expected value the winner receives is (8/15*14)+(4/15*14)+(2/15*18)+(1/15*18)=14.8
The amount every spectator gives is 14.8/100=0.148

if man A wins the first two games, then should not the match end, i mean then there will be no third game right?
 
Messages
195
Reaction score
265
Points
73
if man A wins the first two games, then should not the match end, i mean then there will be no third game right?
There will be no third game but we just suppose that the match was of full length of 5 games. Then man A would win any match in he would win the first two games regardless of what happens next. Its just a way of calculating probability and not what actually happens.
 
Messages
144
Reaction score
107
Points
53
There will be no third game but we just suppose that the match was of full length of 5 games. Then man A would win any match in he would win the first two games regardless of what happens next. Its just a way of calculating probability and not what actually happens.

we have to calculate the probability of what actually happens as probability is all about the actual scene that's going on which we have to visualise and condense in a mathematical form
 
Messages
144
Reaction score
107
Points
53
Hey :)


Can you please solve this Statistics 1 question on probability? Your help will be much appreciated. Thanks

Possibility of winning case A or B wins
= A wins + B wins

i) Two games
= AA + BB
= P(A) * P(A) + P(B) * P(B) = 1/4 + 1/4 = 1/2
we don't have to include the case in which the match draws.

ii) Three games
= ABB + BAA (the match shouldn't end before third game, i.e it should reach the third game)
= 1/4

similarly
iii) ABAA + BABB = 1/8

and iv) ABABA + BABAB = 1/16

mean cost
p(2 or 3) = 0.5 + 0.25 = 0.75
p(4 or 5) = 1/8 + 1/16 = 3/16

E(X) = (0.75*14 + 3/16*18) / 100 spectators
 
Messages
1,983
Reaction score
3,044
Points
273
I never asked for anything in return. And i can not do the community the help which Sal has done.
neither did it offend me nor it looks completely incorrect i just said it lacks proper structure of solving AS S1 questions, and jbtw there is obviously no direct return of this help but have you ever heard of karma!? There are million others who help without any will of return. Just look at that famous khan academy guy
 
Messages
2,211
Reaction score
1,261
Points
173
are the tangent graphs required for the AS level? n do i need to know the symmetry properties of the graphs???
 
Messages
195
Reaction score
265
Points
73
Possibility of winning case A or B wins
= A wins + B wins

i) Two games
= AA + BB
= P(A) * P(A) + P(B) * P(B) = 1/4 + 1/4 = 1/2
we don't have to include the case in which the match draws.

ii) Three games
= ABB + BAA (the match shouldn't end before third game, i.e it should reach the third game)
= 1/4

similarly
iii) ABAA + BABB = 1/8

and iv) ABABA + BABAB = 1/16

mean cost
p(2 or 3) = 0.5 + 0.25 = 0.75
p(4 or 5) = 1/8 + 1/16 = 3/16

E(X) = (0.75*14 + 3/16*18) / 100 spectators
Probabilities should add up to 1 but your probabilities add up to 15/16.

The possible results for man A are 15 if he wins (W denotes win and L denotes lose):
W-W-W-W-W
W-W-W-W-L
W-W-W-L-W
W-W-L-W-W
W-W-L-L-W
W-W-L-W-L
W-W-W-L-L
W-W-L-L-L
L-W-W-W-W
L-W-W-W-L
L-W-W-L-W
L-W-W-L-L
W-L-W-W-W
W-L-W-W-L
W-L-W-L-W

In these, 8 will result in win in 2 games, 4 in win 3 games, 2 in win in 4 games and 1 in win in 5 games.
 
Messages
144
Reaction score
107
Points
53
Probabilities should add up to 1 but your probabilities add up to 15/16.

The possible results for man A are 15 if he wins (W denotes win and L denotes lose):
W-W-W-W-W
W-W-W-W-L
W-W-W-L-W
W-W-L-W-W
W-W-L-L-W
W-W-L-W-L
W-W-W-L-L
W-W-L-L-L
L-W-W-W-W
L-W-W-W-L
L-W-W-L-W
L-W-W-L-L
W-L-W-W-W
W-L-W-W-L
W-L-W-L-W

In these, 8 will result in win in 2 games, 4 in win 3 games, 2 in win in 4 games and 1 in win in 5 games.

this is one of the typical questions of probability but the remaining probability which makes my total probability equals to one is of the case in which the match draws when 2/3/4/5 matches are played and also we have to include the probability of both players winning
 
Last edited:
Messages
84
Reaction score
178
Points
43
Probabilities should add up to 1 but your probabilities add up to 15/16.

The possible results for man A are 15 if he wins (W denotes win and L denotes lose):
W-W-W-W-W
W-W-W-W-L
W-W-W-L-W
W-W-L-W-W
W-W-L-L-W
W-W-L-W-L
W-W-W-L-L
W-W-L-L-L
L-W-W-W-W
L-W-W-W-L
L-W-W-L-W
L-W-W-L-L
W-L-W-W-W
W-L-W-W-L
W-L-W-L-W

In these, 8 will result in win in 2 games, 4 in win 3 games, 2 in win in 4 games and 1 in win in 5 games.
Ahmed help me on this ! PLEASE
 

Attachments

  • maths.jpg
    maths.jpg
    75.9 KB · Views: 10
Top